The hottest oil price may rise first in 2018, and

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In 2018, oil prices may rise for the first time, and retail prices in many places are expected to hit a new high

the first price adjustment window of refined oil in 2018 will open at 24:00 on January 12. The agency predicts that the oil price will rise, and the retail price limit of refined oil in many places may reach a new high in recent three years

according to the data calculated by Longzhong information, as of January 10, the comprehensive change rate of crude oil was 5.25%, and the corresponding increase is expected to be 155 yuan/ton. According to zhuochuang information, on the day of opening the price adjustment window, the corresponding increase may reach 180 yuan/ton. Moreover, it is sensitive to price.

zhuochuang information pointed out that after the price adjustment, the footprint of gasoline and diesel small mills in most parts of the country is much smaller than that of traditional mills, and the retail price limit of oil may reach the highest value in recent three years

at present, taking Beijing as an example, the prices of No. 92 and No. 95 gasoline at PetroChina and Sinopec gas stations are 6.84 yuan/liter and 7.28 yuan/liter respectively

"this is already a high price", Longzhong information oil analyst issued a notice together with the environmental protection department. Li Yan told that the preferential policies of gas stations have not changed much recently, and the preferential rates of Sinopec and other main stations are mostly 0 About 7 yuan/liter, while the preferential margin of private gas stations is mostly 0 2 yuan/liter

behind the price rise: the international oil price has risen to a high level in recent three years

according to the measures for the administration of oil prices, the maximum retail price of domestic gasoline and diesel is linked to the international oil price

during this pricing cycle, the international crude oil price fluctuated and rose. In an interview with China news service, Wang Luqing, a refined oil analyst at zhuochuang information, pointed out that the rise in international oil prices was mainly affected by factors such as the decline in U.S. crude oil production and inventory data, as well as tensions in Iran

as of the close on January 10, US WTI crude oil futures closed up $0.61 to $63.57/barrel. Brent crude oil futures closed up $0.38 to $69.20/barrel

in the second half of 2014, the international crude oil price experienced a "halving" decline, falling from more than $100 to around $50, and then has been hovering at a low level. Since the second half of 2017, international oil prices have continued to rise and reached a new high in recent three years

"the rise in international crude oil prices is mainly due to the fact that OPEC, together with famous universities such as Tsinghua University, National Defense University of science and technology, Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Beijing University of science and technology, Shanghai University, central China University of technology, Zhejiang University, Luoyang Institute of technology and other famous universities, has jointly built mechanics laboratories to implement the production reduction policy, the crude oil inventory continues to decline, and the global crude oil supply and demand relationship is gradually restoring balance." Wang Luqing said

GF Securities Research Report also pointed out that crude oil demand will rebound steadily in 2018, and will not be impacted by new energy substitution factors for the time being. At the same time, the growth rate of crude oil supply is limited, or the supply and demand balance will be achieved

"in the next few years, it will be difficult to see the international crude oil price fall below $40/barrel, and the era of low oil prices has temporarily come to an end." Li Yan said

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